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ASTEROID.TXT - "The End Of A Chapter?" FSR (Vol.34, No.3, Sept., 1989)


             - by FSR Editor Gordon Creighton


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THE END OF A CHAPTER?

        ---------------------



  As all our information media continue to bombard us with

 depressing reports about the Ozone Layer; the "Greenhouse Effect";

 the melting Ice-Caps and the rising seas; the rapid loss of the Earth's

 great tropical rain-forests; the massive pollution of land and sea and

 atmosphere; the terrifying overpopulation of the Earth by Man, the Great

 Predator; and the accelerating destruction of numerous other species of

 life, it is evident that many - even among the great unthinking masses

 of humanity - are beginning to preceive that "SOMETHING IS HAPPENING".

 And, here and there among them, the more perceptive ones are even starting

 to see that the close of one of the _Great_Chapters_in_the_Book_of_Life_

 on_Earth_ may be at hand.  Should this indeed be so, then it is nothing

 new!  For these things have occurred repeatedly before.  For what we are

 discussing is "Catastrophism", and we know that the old-fashioned Victorian

 idea of "Gradualism", once so dear to the hearts of such folk as the

 geologist Lyall, has now been totally discarded.  Today we already know

 from the scientific evidence, of _at_least_77_reversals_of_the_Earth's_

 Poles_.


Firstly, there is the problem of the actual _wandering_ of the

 physical Poles, and this is no doubt connected with the slow processes

 of Continental Drift and the movements of the Plates.  Secondly, as

 stated already, there is the question of the _magnetic_ reversals.  It

 seems that there have been twenty of these in the last 4,500,000 years,

 which gives us a rate of _about_one_reversal_ every 200,000 years, on an

 average.  There have been found to be several sorts of time-interval

 between them. One of the intervals is of about 700,000 years, while

 another is of about only 10,000 years.  The longest interval yet

 discovered by our scientists happens to be in fact our current interval,

 as it seems that the last big reversal was about 690,000 years ago,

 though the scientists Folgheraiter and Mercanton have also found a brief

 period of reversal about 3,000 years ago.


  Findings of scientists in the Geological Department of the

 University of Minnesota (published in the London _Sunday_Times_ of July

 15, 1984) indicate that a new "flip" is indeed pending.  They found

 that the Earth's magnetic field has halved in strength over the past

 4,000 years.  The actual reversal may, the scientists say, "take a few

 years, or a couple of thousand if History is any guide".


Clearly, when it does happen, magnetic compasses will be useless

 for navigation during the change, and the protection which the Earth's

 magnetic field at present gives us against solar radiation could be

 altered, no doubt bringing major changes in climate (such as we are

 already experiencing).


  Clearly, also, all creatures that utilize the Earth's magnetism

 for their navigation - birds, fish, and honey bees for example - will

 be thrown into utter confusion and their survival will be in doubt.  And

 what about ours? (Incidentally, we have heard of all sorts of theories

 about the cause of extinction of the dinosaurs - such as the explosion

 of a Supernova.  But this magnetic field reversal might also have been

 the cause.)



All Life Is Lived On A Razor's Edge



All life is miraculous and perilous, anyway, and we live on the

 razor's edge.  In an earlier article, "Will The Earth Be Struck Again

 Soon?" (in FSR 30/5, 1985), I gave an outline of the view of Dr. Allen

 Hynek and fellow-astrophysicists regarding a further danger with which

 our planet is faced - _and_has_always_been_faced_ - namely the possibility

 of another major _strike_ soon by an asteroid or a comet, from which it

 seemed pretty evident that a good many astronomers think we might 'cop'

 something quite nasty again before very long.


  Such a view has recently received much confirmation.  In his

 article, _The_Dynamics_of_Armageddon_, published in the journal ASTRONOMY

 NOW, the Oxford University astrophysicist Dr. Victor Clube has pointed

 out that, since about 1970, the previous scientific thinking about the

 likelihood of great geophysical disasters on our planet have been revised

 most drastically.  He says that it is now perceived that, even within the

 tiny span of recorded history, the impact or near passage of comets have

 had quite startling effects upon the Earth.



     Comet Encke, And Another Near-Miss By An Asteroid



Subsequently, on October 24, 1988, in an article in the London

 _Daily_Telegraph_, Dr. Clube showed that, in particular, COMET ENCKE,

 which, with its million-mile swathe of debris _intercepts_Earth's_orbit_

 once_every_3.3_years_(!), represents a terrible danger to this planet,

 and he adduces cogent evidence to show that in both the 5th century A.D.,

 there were what he calls veritable "waves of attack" against the Earth

 by Encke.  He also thinks, incidentally, that the famous "Tunguska

 Phenomenon" of 1908 was almost certainly a large chunk of ice about 40

 yards wide and weighing some 30,000 tons, which had got detached from

 Encke's Comet.


  But now (Daily Telegraph, April 21, 1989) we learn that our Earth

 has just narrowly escaped being struck by a fresh, _totally_unknown_,

 asteroid weighing some 400,000,000 tons, which passed within half-a-million

 miles of us in March of this year!  Dr. Henry Holt, the Northern Arizona

 University astronomer who discovered this "beastie", using the Mount

 Palomar Optical Telescope, says that the thing had come in from the

 direction of the Sun, so that the Sun's glare had prevented anyone from

 detecting its approach sooner, and that, "If it had appeared only a few

 hours earlier, it would have nailed us".


"Half-a-million miles from Earth" mean that, as it passed us, the

 size of the gap separating the asteroid from us was only twice the distance

 from the Earth to the Moon.


  In 1937 the asteroid HERMES (400 million tons) also came within

 half a million miles of us.  If we are to go on having many such "close

 shaves", then assuredly it can only due to some Very High Guidance - in

 other words DIVINE PROVIDENCE.  But - can we always count on it?  IF WE

 ARE WORTH PRESERVING, MAYBE SOMEBODY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE TO IT THAT WE

 ARE PRESERVED.


As we contemplate these Immensities, we realize more acutely than

 ever that ALL OF LIFE IS LIVED UPON A RAZOR'S EDGE.  What the purpose of

 our existence here is, not one of us knows, but we can be certain that

 _we_are_here_because_we_are_useful_to_Somebody_or_to_Something_.  Let us

 ever be thoughtful and mindful, then, for should we cease to be useful,

 might not our time be running out?


_What_do_all_the_signs_indicate?__Are_we_not_all_living_on_

 borrowed_time_now_?




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